Severe Cyclonic Storm Murasu is forecast to make landfall over the south Andhra Pradesh coast between 1800 and 2200 UTC on 2 November (2330 IST on 2 November to 0400 IST on 3 November), according to the India Meteorological Department (IMD) / RSMC Tropical Cyclones New Delhi. IMD has issued a Red Message cyclone warning for Andhra Pradesh and adjoining north Tamil Nadu.
CURRENT STATUS
Based on the latest IMD bulletins on November 2, 2026, 04:30 UTC
- Location: 13.9°N / 81.8°E, about 200 km east-northeast of Chennai, 210 km east-southeast of Nellore, and 260 km southeast of Ongole
- Intensity: Severe Cyclonic Storm (IMD scale)
- Movement: West-northwestward at about 25 km/h (13 kt)
- Central pressure: 998 hPa
- Maximum sustained winds: 50 kt (93 km/h) gusting to 60 kt (111 km/h)
Weathernews Global Composite Satellite Imagery valid November 1, 2026 03:30 UTC to November 2, 2026 03:30 UTC
FORECAST TRACK SUMMARY
Murasu is forecast to move northwestward and cross the coast between Nellore and Narsapur, close to Ongole. After landfall IMD expects it to turn north and then north-northeast ahead of an approaching upper-level trough.
IMD rates confidence in the current position and intensity, the forecast track, and the forecast intensity as High.
INTENSITY FORECAST
Murasu is forecast to hold Severe Cyclonic Storm strength through landfall, with winds of 100–110 km/h gusting to 120 km/h (54–59 kt gusting 65 kt). Warm water, an active Madden-Julian Oscillation phase, and low wind shear favor strengthening. Dry northwesterly air from the Indian peninsula limits how far it can intensify. Models agree on the track but not on landfall intensity. Some indicate a Severe Cyclonic Storm, others a Cyclonic Storm, and others only a Deep Depression. The system is forecast to weaken to a Cyclonic Storm by 0000 UTC on 3 November and to a Deep Depression by 1200 UTC the same day.
IMPACTS & THREATS
A storm surge of 1.0–1.5 m above astronomical tide is expected to flood low-lying areas of south coastal Andhra Pradesh at landfall. The highest surge is forecast over Bapatla, Krishna, and Prakasam districts. Extremely heavy rainfall is likely at isolated places over coastal Andhra Pradesh on 2–3 November. Telangana may see isolated extremely heavy falls on 3 November. Heavy to very heavy rain is also forecast for Tamil Nadu, Rayalaseema, south Odisha, and south Chhattisgarh.
Along the Andhra Pradesh coast, winds are forecast to build to 100–110 km/h gusting to 120 km/h around midnight IST on 2 November and last until early 3 November. Seas are expected to be high to very high through midday on 3 November, with waves of 9–14 m near the coast. IMD advises fishermen not to venture into the west central Bay of Bengal until the afternoon of 4 November. It also advises against fishing along and off the Andhra Pradesh coast through the same time, and recommends suspending offshore and onshore operations. IMD warns of major damage to thatched and kutcha (non-masonry) houses, widespread crop damage, flooded roads, and disruption to rail and power lines in coastal Andhra Pradesh.
OPERATIONAL PORT FORECASTS
KRISHNAPATNAM, Andhra Pradesh, India
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Note on system designation: The name 'Murasu' was contributed by India and means a traditional percussion instrument, or war drum, in Tamil. The WMO and the ESCAP/WMO Panel on Tropical Cyclones adopt these names sequentially to make tracking specific storms straightforward and to quickly communicate warnings. To learn more about how storms are named, please visit the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) website.
